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Larsen & Toubro Ltd. share analysis

Will L&T’s massive order book reshape India’s infrastructure—and is it time to invest?

Larsen & Toubro Ltd. share analysis

Larsen & Toubro (L&T) is one of India’s most prominent engineering, construction, and  infrastructure companies. With a strong presence in multiple sectors, including heavy  engineering, IT, defence, power, and financial services, L&T is often seen as a proxy for India’s  infrastructure and economic growth. In this blog, we’ll explore L&T’s growth drivers, key  insights, valuation, and risks to watch. 

Stock Overview 

Ticker LT
Industry/Sector Infrastructure (Construction)
Market Cap (Rs Cr.) 471305
Free Float (% of Market Cap) 85.4%
52 W High/Low 3963.5 / 3175.05
P/E 33.98 (Vs Industry P/E of 28.63)
EPS (TTM) 101.34

About L&T 

Larsen & Toubro Ltd. (L&T) is a multinational conglomerate headquartered in Mumbai, India.  Founded in 1938 by two Danish engineers, Henning Holck-Larsen and Soren Kristian Toubro,  the company has evolved into a leading player in engineering, procurement, and construction  (EPC), with operations spanning over 30 countries. 

L&T operates in key high-impact sectors of the economy, offering end-to-end capabilities from design to delivery. 

The company caters to government and large corporate clients across various sectors in India and globally. In FY24, 57% of its revenue came from domestic operations, while the remaining  43% was generated internationally. 

As of 31st March 2024, the L&T Group comprises 105 subsidiaries, 5 associate companies,  15 joint ventures and 35 jointly held operations.

Key business segments 

L&T operates through multiple business verticals: 

1. Infrastructure: Engages in large-scale projects, including highways, bridges, metro rail systems, and smart cities. 

2. Heavy Engineering: Manufactures critical equipment for nuclear, aerospace, and defence sectors. 

3. Power: Specializes in thermal and renewable energy projects. 

4. Hydrocarbon Engineering: Covers oil and gas refineries, petrochemical plants, and offshore platforms. 

5. IT & Technology Services: Operates through L&T Infotech and Mindtree, focusing on digital transformation. 

6. Financial Services: Provides asset management, insurance, and lending solutions. 

7. Real Estate & Construction: Develops residential and commercial real estate projects. 

Revenue mix fy24

Geography mix FY24


Key growth drivers

1. Order pipeline & Execution momentum 

L&T anticipates ~10% growth in consolidated order inflows and a 15% increase in revenue for  FY25, supported by the execution of its large order book. The order book stands at ₹5,64,223  crore (as of December 31, 2024), with 42% from international markets, ensuring long-term  revenue visibility. 

2. Government capex & Policy support 

The Union Budget 2025-26 has allocated ₹11.21 lakh crore for capital expenditure, which is a  0.9% increase from the previous fiscal year, aiming to stimulate infrastructure growth. Key  initiatives like the Bharatmala Project (~₹6.3 Lakh Cr), Smart Cities Mission (~₹2.05 Lakh  Crore), and Housing for All will further boost demand in construction, engineering, and urban  infrastructure. Additionally, the government’s move to offer ₹1.5 lakh crore interest-free loans  to states and its 100% FDI policy in infrastructure are designed to accelerate sectoral growth  and remove bottlenecks. 

3. Sectoral & Geographical diversification 

L&T’s diversified order book comprises 64% infrastructure, 26% energy, and 7% hi-tech  manufacturing, reducing dependency on any single sector. The domestic order book consists  of 15% from the central government, 26% from the state government, 39% from public sector  corporations (state-owned enterprises), and 20% from the private sector. Its international  presence (42% of total orders), mainly in the Middle East (92%), benefits from rising  investments in oil & gas, industrialization, and energy transition projects. 

4. Expansion into high-growth, new-age businesses 

L&T is expanding into green energy, semiconductor chip design, digital platforms, and data  centers. It has secured 63 MW under the PLI scheme for electrolyzer manufacturing and  launched L&T Semiconductor Technologies Ltd., acquiring SiliConch Systems to strengthen  its semiconductor capabilities. The company also plans to build ~60 MW of data center  capacity, capitalizing on India’s digital infrastructure boom. 

Competitor Analysis for L&T 

Key Financial Metrics – FY 24; 

Company Revenue (Rs Cr.)EBITDA (Rs Cr.)EBITDA  Margin (%)PAT (Rs Cr.)PAT  Margin (%)P/E (TTM)
L&T 221112.9 29208.5 13.21% 15569.7 7.04% 33.98
IRB Infrastructure 7409 3331.7 44.97% 920.6 12.43% 5.08
Kalpataru Projects 19626 1628 8.30% 516 2.63% 33.21
Afcons Infrastructure 12637 1333 11.00% 411 3.25% 34.99
NCC Ltd20844.9 1768.8 8.49% 735.1 3.53% 17.58

Key insights on L&T 

• L&T has maintained a 10-12% CAGR in revenue over the past five years. 

• The company enjoys steady operating margins of 12-15%, with improved efficiencies  across projects. 

• Its order book remains strong, typically exceeding ₹3 lakh crore, ensuring future  revenue visibility. 

• L&T has a disciplined capital allocation strategy, divesting non-core businesses while  maintaining a stable debt-equity ratio (~1.2x), ensuring financial stability.

• The company consistently pays dividends, maintaining a solid dividend payout ratio of  ~34.6%, reflecting its commitment to rewarding shareholders. 

Recent Financial Performance (Q3 FY25) 

Metric Q3 FY24 Q2 FY25 Q3 FY25 QoQ Growth (%) YoY Growth (%)
Revenue (Rs Cr.) 55127.82 61554.58 64667.78 5.1% 17.3%
EBITDA (Rs Cr.) 7198.65 7917.05 7898.16 -0. 2% 9.7%
EBITDA Margin (%) 13.06% 12.86% 12.21% -65 bps -85 bps
Net Profit (Rs Cr.) 2947.36 3395.29 3358.84 -1.1% 14.0%
Net Profit Margin (%) 5.35% 5.52% 5.19% -33 bps -16 bps
Adjusted EPS (Rs) 21.44 24.69 24.43 -1.1% 13.9%

L&T reported double-digit growth in Q3FY25, driven by strong performance in the infrastructure and energy segments. Despite steady margins in the core infrastructure business,  overall margins declined due to pressure in the energy, IT services (impacted by salary hikes  and forex losses), and financial services divisions.  

The company recorded a 53% YoY rise in order inflows to ₹1,16,036 crore. Strong execution and a robust order pipeline are expected to help L&T exceed its FY25 revenue and order inflow guidance, supported by domestic capex rebound and international opportunities. 

Valuation insights 

Larsen & Toubro (L&T) is currently trading at a TTM P/E multiple of 33.98x, reflecting its premium valuation due to its strong order book and execution capabilities. Despite its marginal  1.2% stock price increase over the past year, the company has underperformed the Nifty 50  (8.8%), mainly due to subdued domestic capex and a slowdown in government spending.  

However, a healthy order pipeline, both domestically and internationally, coupled with a likely pick-up in execution over the next two quarters, supports revenue growth prospects. 

With lifetime-high order book levels, L&T offers strong revenue visibility for the next two years. As infrastructure spending gains momentum, the company is well-positioned to capitalise on these opportunities. Sum-of-the-Parts (SOTP) valuation indicates a potential upside to ₹4,300 levels, suggesting room for further stock appreciation. 

Key risks to watch 

• Slowdown in Order Inflows: Lower-than-expected order wins, especially in  infrastructure and EPC projects, could impact future revenue visibility and growth.

• Lesser than Expected Improvement in Margins: Delays in operational efficiencies, cost  overruns, or pricing pressures could result in weaker-than-anticipated margin expansion. 

• Rising Input Costs: Fluctuations in raw material prices (steel, cement) and labour costs  could put pressure on margins if costs are not effectively passed on. 

• Geopolitical & Global Economic Uncertainty: Overseas projects are exposed to economic downturns, forex risks, and geopolitical instability, which may impact international revenues. 

Technical Outlook on L&T share price

Technical Outlook on L&T share price

The stock recently rebounded from the 3270 level, a long-term support zone, and formed a white Marubozu candle, reflecting a bullish sentiment with a price increase of 4.56%. A break above the 3450 level could lead to further upside, with major resistances at 3740 and 3850. If the price sustains above 3600, it may extend its move towards 3800-3900. Currently, the price is trading below its moving averages.

RSI: 40.98 (Range Bound)

ADX: 22.63 (Range Bound)

Resistance: 3660

Support: 3270

L&T Stock Recommendation 

Current Stance: Buy with a target price of ₹4,300 (12-month horizon) and a shorter-term target of ₹3,900. 

Why to Buy Now? 

L&T’s strong order book, improving execution pace, and favourable domestic & international  order prospects provide strong revenue visibility for the next two years. With a pick-up in  infrastructure spending and capex recovery, the company is well-positioned for earnings  growth. Additionally, its diversified business model, leadership in EPC & construction, and  global expansion make it a solid bet for long-term value creation.

Portfolio Fit 

L&T is an ideal investment for long-term, growth-oriented investors seeking exposure to  India’s infrastructure expansion and global engineering projects. Given its robust execution  capabilities, government policy tailwinds, and presence across critical sectors, the stock fits  well into portfolios focusing on core industrials, construction, and capex-driven themes.
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L&T: Budget 2025 – 26 Opportunities 

Increased Capex Allocation: ₹11.21 lakh crore for capital expenditure will boost  infrastructure projects, providing L&T with significant opportunities in construction  and engineering.

Key Infrastructure Initiatives: Initiatives like Bharatmala (₹6.3 lakh crore) and Smart  Cities (₹2.05 lakh crore) present growth prospects for L&T in road and urban  development. 

Interest-Free Financing to States: ₹1.5 lakh crore in interest-free loans to states could  lead to more state-funded infrastructure projects, benefiting L&T. 

FDI in Infrastructure: The 100% FDI policy will attract more investments in  infrastructure, creating more opportunities for L&T’s services in the sector.

Focus on Renewable Energy: The budget includes allocations for the renewable  energy sector, which could open opportunities for L&T in solar, wind, and green infrastructure projects.

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Sachin Kapoor CFA (SEBI RIA)

StockGro Expert SEBI RIA (INA100014879) Founder & Principal Adviser Clovek Wealth Pvt. Ltd Sachin Kapoor has 13 years of experience across multiple roles in investment management from consulting to products to business development with organizations like Anand Rathi Private Wealth Management, HDFC Bank, ICICI Securities, JM Financial AMC & Kotak Securities. He holds CFA charter from CFA Institute, USA and MBA from ICFAI. What Readers Can Expect In his insights and research, Sachin shares: -Expert analysis on wealth management and investment strategies
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