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Trent stock analysis and expert insights in detail

Will Trent continue to thrive amidst the changing landscape and consumer behaviour of the Indian retail industry? Let’s find out!

Trent stock analysis and expert insights in detail

Stock overview

TickerTRENT
SectorRetail
Market Cap₹ 1,89,060 Cr
CMP (Current Market Price)₹ 4,760
52-Week High/Low₹ 8,346/ ₹ 3,801
P/E Ratio127x
Beta1.2 (Moderate to High volatility)

About Trent

A part of the Tata Group, Trent Ltd. operates some of India’s most successful retail chains, including:

  • Westside: A leading apparel and fashion retail chain with 200+ stores.
  • Zudio: A fast-growing budget fashion brand targeting young consumers.
  • Star Bazaar: Trent’s supermarket chain catering to groceries and essentials.
  • Landmark: A books and stationery retail chain.

With its aggressive store expansion strategy, focus on private-label brands, and growing consumer base, Trent is at the forefront of India’s retail revolution.

Trent Ltd. has emerged as a dominant force in India’s retail sector, capitalising on India’s growing middle-class consumption and strong brand positioning. This report provides an exhaustive analysis of the company’s Q3 FY25 performance, growth trajectory, competitive landscape, risks, and technical trends to help investors make informed decisions.

Primary growth factors for Trent

1. Aggressive store expansion

  • Opened 50+ new stores in Q3 FY25 across Westside, Zudio and Star Bazaar.
  • Plans to reach 1,000+ Zudio stores by FY27, making it India’s largest value fashion chain.

2. Dominance in fashion retail

  • Westside & Zudio contribute ~85% of revenues with strong brand loyalty.
  • Private-label brands ensure high margins (better than competitors like Reliance Trends).

3. Strong E-Commerce & Omnichannel presence

  • Westside Online & Tata Neu integration drive online sales growth of 40% YoY.
  • Hybrid strategy combining offline & digital retail boosts Trent’s positioning.

4. Rising consumer spending in India

  • India’s retail market is expected to grow at 12-15% CAGR.
  • Urbanisation, rising middle class, and preference for branded apparel boost demand.

5. Synergies with Tata Group

  • Cross-selling via the Tata Neu super app strengthens customer acquisition.
  • Leveraging Tata’s financial strength for aggressive expansion.

Q3 FY25 Financial Performance

Metric (values in ₹. Cr )Q3 FY 25YoY GrowthQoQ Growth
Revenue4,535 cr37%12%
Operational EBIT586 cr35%32%
Profit before Tax618 cr38%46%
  • Trent reported a revenue of ₹4,535 Cr at an impressive 37% growth vs Last Year.
  • The business reported a 35% growth in operational EBIT and a 38% growth in PBT vs Q3 FY 24

Here are some numbers that truly reflect the growth story of Trent 

  1. 39% CAGR of Revenue over the past 6 years 
Revenue of trent
  1. Double-digit PBT Margin over the past 6 years
PBT & Margin% of trent
  1. 61% CAGR in market capitalisation in the last 6 years
Market Capitalization of Trent

Detailed competition analysis for Trent

CompanyMarket CapRevenueP/E MultipleRoCE
Trent1,89,060 Cr₹ 4,535 cr127x24%
Avenue Supermart2,56,336 Cr₹ 15,972 cr94x19%
Brainbees Solution18,227 cr₹ 2,172 crNA-4%
Red Tape8,500 cr₹ 664 cr50x29%
  • While Trent trades at a premium valuation, its higher margins, brand equity, and expansion plans justify investor confidence.
  • Investors should note that the company should continue reporting strong growth numbers in order to justify the future valuation.
  • Recently, the stock has corrected about 40% from its all time high owing to pressure of delivering growth in line with the high valuation.

Company valuation insights: Trent

As per the Discounted Cash Flow analysis:

It estimates the intrinsic value of Trent shares based on expected future cash flows:

  • Intrinsic Value Estimate: ₹5,607 per share
  • Upside Potential: 18%
  • WACC: 12.1%
  • Terminal Growth Rate: 7.6%

Despite the recent stock correction, strong growth catalysts and market dominance make Trent a decent long-term bet..

Major risk factors affecting Trent

1. High valuation risk: Trent trades at 127x P/E, making it vulnerable to corrections if growth slows.

2. Competition from Reliance & Aditya Birla

  • Reliance Retail’s aggressive expansion in fashion could challenge Trent’s dominance.
  • ABFRL’s strategic partnerships (e.g., Reebok, Tumi) intensify the battle in premium fashion.

3. Economic slowdown impact: Any decline in consumer discretionary spending could affect sales, especially in premium categories.

4. Supply chain disruptions: Fluctuations in raw material prices (cotton, fabric) and import duties impact costs.

Technical analysis of Trent


Technical analysis of Trent

TRENT stock recommendation by Ketan Mittal

Buy / Accumulate on Dips 

Target Price: ₹5607 (12 months)

If you found this helpful and want regular stock trade calls, check out my StockGro profile here: https://stockgro.onelink.me/vNON/6m6ykj0d

Rationale

Strong industry leader with market dominance and brand power 

Steady revenue growth across both Zuio and Westside.

Valuation is high, so short-term challenges exist

Technical setup positive, with potential breakout ahead
If you found this helpful and want regular stock trade calls, check out my StockGro profile here: https://stockgro.onelink.me/vNON/6m6ykj0d

Conclusion 

Trent Ltd. continues to impress with its robust revenue growth, aggressive store expansion, and strong positioning in India’s booming retail sector. Its focus on private-label margins, omnichannel strategies, and synergies within the Tata ecosystem make it a standout player. 

While the stock trades at premium valuations, its growth trajectory justifies the optimism. For long-term investors seeking exposure to India’s consumption story.

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Ketan Mittal (SEBI RA)

StockGro Expert SEBI RA (INH000018726) Ketan is a SEBI Registered Research Analyst with an MBA in Finance from IIM Indore. Passionate about simplifying the stock market, Ketan specializes in making complex financial concepts easy to understand for investors of all levels. With a strong background in market research and trading strategies, Ketan is committed to helping readers make informed and confident financial decisions. What Readers Can Expect In his blogs, Ketan covers a wide range of topics, including: -Clear and concise market updates
-Practical trading strategies
-Personal finance tips to grow wealth
-Simple explanations of stock market concepts Mission
Ketan aims to bridge the gap between everyday investors and the intricate world of finance,
empowering readers to navigate the market with clarity and confidence. Beyond the Numbers
When not analyzing market trends, Ketan enjoys engaging with the financial community and
exploring new ways to make investing more accessible to everyone.

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