Turtle trading is among the most fascinating methods available in the trading scene since stock market trading is more about technique than it is about timing. Originating from an interesting 1980s experiment, turtle trading has enthralled traders with its methodical, rules-based approach.
It is based on basic yet powerful ideas that can be used by both novice and experienced traders, unlike other trading techniques that mostly depend on market forecasts or sophisticated algorithms. Turtle trading is fundamentally based on its capacity to maximise returns by catching trend market moves, so reducing risks.
This article explores turtle trading’s beginnings, basic ideas, and valuable applications to offer a complete manual for anyone wishing to grasp and maybe use this venerable trading technique.
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What is turtle trading?
Renowned traders Richard Dennis and William Eckhardt devised the trend-following turtle trading approach. The approach got its name from an early 1980s experiment where Dennis thought there was teachability about successful trading. He trained a group of individuals, referred to as “turtles,” in his trading technique to demonstrate that success in trading could be achieved with the right strategy.
Fundamentally, turtle trading is predicated on a methodical set of guidelines that control position management, risk level, and trade entrance and exit timing. Using technical indicators such as moving averages and breakout points, the approach mostly consists in spotting and grabbing advantage from long-term market trends. Following these guidelines helps turtle traders to profit from consistent price swings in many financial markets, including stocks, commodities, and currencies.
Turtle trading’s simplicity and discipline appeal to traders seeking a methodical approach to trading free from the emotional biases sometimes afflicting decision-making in unpredictable markets.
Key principles of turtle trading
Built on the basis of rigorous principles and tested methods, turtle trading is a potent approach for traders trying to grab long-term market trends. The fundamental ideas guiding this method are found below:
- Trend following
Turtle trading is, fundamentally, a trend-following approach. It finds and rides trends over the long run, therefore leveraging consistent market moves. Traders identify the beginning of a possible trend by entering positions when the market moves outside a designated range, say a 20-day high or low. They guarantee they catch most of the movement by holding their positions until the trend slows down or flips.
- Breakouts
The plan’s main entrance point is breakout signals. A breakout happens when the price crosses a threshold, usually determined as the highest or lowest low during a designated period, say 20 or 55 days. The systematic and repeatable nature of these objectives and easily discernible signals drive the plan.
The core of turtle trading is risk management. Using stop-loss orders to exit lost trades and position sizing guidelines to manage the capital risk on every trade helps traders reduce their exposure. This systematic method guarantees that, even in erratic market conditions, no one trade may seriously compromise the portfolio.
Turtle traders lower their risk by investing in a variety of markets and types of assets, like forex, stocks, and commodities. Spreading their investments across many markets increases their chances of making money from different trends and lessens the effect of losses in any one market.
These ideas, taken together, provide a strong, methodical trading strategy that efficiently balances risk and profit.
Must read: Risk management in stock market
The core rules of turtle trading
Clear guidelines for entering and leaving trades, as well as position size management, identify turtle trading as a methodical approach. These guidelines guarantee traders keep discipline and properly control their risk.
Entry rules
- Breakouts
When the price broke out from a set range, like a 20-day or 55-day high or low, turtle traders entered positions. A 20-day breakout, for instance, happens when the price beats the highest high (or lowest low) during the prior 20 days. While the 55-day breakout was a more conservative indication, the 20-day breakout was sometimes employed for aggressive entrance.
- Trend continuation
The approach emphasises on occupying roles in line with a market trend. Once a breakout signal is set off, traders ride the trend keeping their positions as long as the market keeps flowing in their advantage.
Also read: Intraday Breakout Trading Strategy: How to Profit from Market Breakouts
Exit rules
Stop-loss orders were a critical part of the turtle trading strategy. Turtles used trailing stops to lock in profits as the market moved in their favour. Fixed stop-loss levels, based on market volatility, helped minimise losses when the trade moved against them.
- Profit target
While the turtles didn’t always have strict profit targets, they exited trades when the trend showed signs of reversal or if the price reached a predefined level. This ensured they captured the majority of the trend without holding on too long.
Position sizing
Turtle traders made a calculated decision on the amount of money to commit to each trade. They computed the “N” value, that is, the movement in the price of an asset, such as a stock, by examining its fluctuations. The “N” value is comparable to gauging the mean change in price over a given period.
- High volatility (Big price changes): An asset is said to be very volatile if its price swings a lot. Turtle Traders would thus make less investments in this trade in order to minimise their risk.
- Low volatility (Small price changes): The asset is less volatile if the price moves hardly at all. The risk is lesser here, hence they would invest more money.
Simply put, you play it safe by reducing your investment in a stock if it is highly erratic or has high volatility. A stock with low volatility, that is, better stability, you can afford to invest more in.
Advantages and challenges of turtle trading
| Advantages | Challenges |
| Systematic approach: Uses set guidelines to eradicate emotional decision-making. | Over-reliance on trends: Shows well in trending markets but suffers in range-bound or sideways situations. |
| Consistency: Encourages constant and disciplined trading even in the middle of market turmoil. | Emotional discipline: Needs excellent mental discipline to follow policies, particularly in drawdowns. |
| Adaptability: Applied across asset classes, including equities, commodities, foreign exchange, and cryptocurrency. | Market noise: Especially in volatile markets, vulnerable to random movements and false breakouts. |
| Risk management: Including position sizing and stop-loss orders helps to control any losses. | Adaptation to modern markets: Perhaps changed to fit the speedier and more sophisticated character of modern trading surroundings. |
Bottomline
With its methodical approach, dependence on trend-following, and strict risk management practices, turtle trading offers evidence of the potency of rules-based trading systems.
For individuals drawn to this famous approach, it’s a valuable exercise to investigate turtle trading more closely. Think about delving deeper into its ideas, backtracking it on past performance, and assessing how it might enhance your current trading strategies. Turtle trading is an excellent weapon in your trading toolset if you can adapt and practise discipline.
FAQs
What is a turtle trading strategy?
Designed in the 1980s by Richard Dennis and William Eckhardt, turtle trading is a trend-following approach. It covers guidelines for trade entrance and exit timing, risk tolerance, and position management. Using technical indicators including moving averages and breakout points, the approach emphasises on catching long-term market patterns. Turtle trading approaches trading across several financial markets methodically by stressing discipline, risk control, and diversification.
Is turtle trading still profitable?
Yes, turtle trading is still profitable, especially in markets with obvious patterns. Although the 1980s’ original approach may not be as successful now, modern technological indicators have helped to adapt it. Profitability, however, depends on the state of the market and the trader’s discipline in rule following.
Explain the turtle trading experiment
Richard Dennis and William Eckhardt’s 1980s turtle trading experiment sought to show that good trading could be taught. Using a methodical trend-following approach with particular guidelines for entrance, exit, and risk management, they taught a group of beginners, known as “turtles”. The experiment showed that even unskilled traders might have notable trading success with discipline and rule following.
How did the turtles enter trades?
Turtles broke out indications to enter trades. When the price drifted beyond a set range, like a 20-day or 55-day high or low, they purchased or sold. This approach sought to catch the beginning of a fresh trend. To control risk, they placed stop-loss orders; they also changed position sizes depending on market volatility. This methodical strategy reduced possible losses and enabled them to profit from long-term industry trends.
What is position sizing in turtle trading?
In turtle trading, position size is figuring out, given market volatility, the capital to allocate to every trade. Traders figure the “N” value, that is, the average real range of the price of an item. Lower volatility (smaller “N”) lets one control risk by allowing larger positions; higher volatility (greater “N”) means fewer position sizes. By helping to balance risk and profit, this method guarantees regular, disciplined trading.
