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BFSI stocks to watch post-budget 2025

Slowing economic growth and increasing unsecured loans exert stress upon the BFSI industry post-Budget 2025. Explore the blue-chip BFSI stocks to hedge your portfolio.

The announcements in the Budget 2025 were a relief for taxpayers and a boost for consumption. Despite this boost, the Banking, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI) sector experienced significant stress post-Budget 2025. The NIFTY Bank and NIFTY financial services were down by 16 basis points and 21 basis points, respectively.

However, in this stress, investors can explore some blue-chip BFSI stocks that may be less affected by short-term volatility and have a strong fundamental outlook. Such investments provide an indirect hedge against market pressure. Read the article to know more.

BFSI sector post-Budget 2025

Some of the core reasons for the pressure on the BFSI stocks and indices after the Budget 2025 were as follows:

  • Amidst the global pressure and slowed domestic consumption, the economic growth fell from 8.2% to 6.4% in FY 25.
  • Overall, the stock market continued to crash post-Budget 2025 due to geo-political pressure. SENSEX was down by nearly 7%, and NIFTY 50 was down by 3%.
  • The projected gross market borrowing for FY 26 increased by 5.7% as compared to FY 25.

However, this market volatility or crashes may be short-lived as significant reforms related to income tax, ease of doing business and customs duty are announced, which can boost the overall consumption in the economy. Therefore, investors can explore some fundamentally strong BFSI stocks that can earn returns in the long run.

BFSI stocks: Banking

Here are top banking stocks classified based on their market capitalisation and ranked based on their 1-year return on equity as of February 6, 2025.

ParticularsMarket Capitalisation (in ₹ crores)Return on EquityPrice to Earnings (P/E) (in times)Return on Assets
HDFC Bank13,25,855.617.1%19.01.9%
ICICI Bank8,92,858.618.8%18.12.1%
SBI Bank6,79,877.517.3%8.81.1%
Kotak Mahindra3,78,846.515.017.32.6%
Axis Bank3,13,128.118.415.01.8%

ICICI Bank Ltd

    It is one of the biggest names in private-sector banking. It has a network of more than 17000 ATMs and 6523 business centres. It provides a wide range of financial products for savings, payments and transactions, wealth creation, consumption, etc. The bank is adopting a more customer-centric approach towards addressing a wide range of customers. Its shares are trading at ₹1,267.7 as of February 5, 2025.

    Financial Analysis

    Particulars9M FY 2025FY 2024FY 2023
    Operating Profit(in ₹ crores)47,97158,12249,139
    Earnings per share₹57.4₹58.4₹45.8
    Net Profit(in ₹ crores)34,59740,88831,896
    Debt to equity ratio (in times)0.250.300.37
    Source: Quarterly and Annual Reports

    Key Performance Highlights

    • The company’s revenue has increased by more than 75% in the past 5 years.
    • The net non-performing Assets (NPA) ratio has declined to 0.4% in FY 2024.
    • The stock of ICICI Bank has surged by nearly 23% since the start of FY 24.
    • Operating cash flow has significantly dipped to (3,771) crores in the past 3 years.

    Axis Bank Ltd

      Being India’s 3rd largest private bank, the company has been delivering consistent performance for the past decade. The bank has a domestic branch network of 5,377 and nearly 1590 virtual relationship managers. Moreover, the bank has extended its operations to 8 international centres.

      Financial Analysis

      Particulars9M FY 2025FY 2024FY 2023
      Operating Profit(in ₹ crores)33,443.339,356.032,048
      Earnings per share91.185.435.1
      Net Profit(in ₹ crores)19,25524,8619,579
      Debt to equity ratio (in times)1.11.31.49
      Source: Quarterly Reports

      Key Performance Highlights

      • The stock of Axis Bank has dropped by nearly 28% in FY 2025.
      • The bank is widening its scope with ESG strategy, One Axis, Growth-Profitability-Sustability (GPS) strategy, etc.
      • The operating cash flow has been in a declining trend since FY 22 and is (5,555) crores in FY 2024.
      • Bank’s CASA (current account and savings account) has grown by nearly 24% in the past 3 years.

      Peer Review

      ParticularsNet Interest Margin (Ind. avg = 3.9%)Good/ BadPrice to Book Value (in times) (Ind. avg = 1.12)Good/ BadGross NPA (Ind. avg = 2)Good/ Bad
      HDFC Bank3.4%👎2.8👎1.4%👍
      ICICI Bank4.2%👍3.4👎1.9%👍
      SBI Bank3.1%👎1.6👎2.0%👎
      Kotak Mahindra4.9%👍2.9👎1.5%👍
      Axis Bank4.0%👍1.9👎1.4%👍
      Source: Screener

      Also, read about Investing in Bank Stocks: Are They Right for Your Portfolio?

      BFSI stocks: Financial Services

      Here are the top financial services stocks classified based on their market capitalisation and ranked based on their 1-year return on equity as of February 6, 2025.

      ParticularsMarket Capitalisation (in ₹ crores)Return on EquityPrice to Earnings (P/E)(in times)Return on Assets
      Bajaj Finance5,27,171.422.0%33.04.4%
      Bajaj Finserv2,84,820.515.2%33.23.3%
      Jio Financials1,60,801.61.2%100.01.1%
      Bajaj Holdings1,27,806.014.7%17.22.1%
      Chola Finance1,16,818.520.1%28.75.4%
      Source: Screener

      Bajaj Finance Ltd

        It is a Non-Banking Financial Company (NBFC), mainly operating in the advances and investment segment. Its network of 6.91 crore customers has bagged the position of number 1 NBFC in the country. Its shares are trading at ₹8,475.3 as of February 5, 2025.

        Financial Analysis

        Particulars9M FY 2025FY 2024FY 2023
        Operating Profit(in ₹ crores)19,81021,62516,948
        Gross NPA1.1%0.3%0.2%
        Net Profit (in ₹ crores)12,72112,64410,289
        Asset Under Management (AUM)(in ₹ crores)2,93,3702,44,8261,80,999
        Source: Quarterly Reports

        Key Performance Highlights

        • The company’s net profit has been growing at nearly 22% CAGR for the past 5 years.
        • The company enjoys the highest credit rating of AAA for its long-term lending.
        • As of February 5, 2025, this BFSI stock is trading near its 52-week high in the market.
        • The company is tapping potential rural areas with its B2C loans.

        Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Ltd

          A part of the Murugappa group, the entity has gained significant attraction among customers in recent years. The NBFC has a branch network of 1,577 branches across the nation. Moreover, it has a wide range of products designed for retail as well as business customers. As of February 5, 2025, its stock is trading at ₹1,388.

          Financial Analysis

          Particulars9M FY 2025FY 2024FY 2023
          Operating Profit(in ₹ crores)4,0315,9044,449
          Gross NPA4.0%3.5%4.6%
          Net Profit (in ₹ crores)2,9913,4222,666
          Asset Under Management (AUM)(in ₹ crores)1,74,5671,53,7181,12,782
          Source: Quarterly Reports

          Key Performance Highlights 

          • The company has been consistently generating potential return on equity for the past 5 years.
          • Due to the growing supportive ecosystem for MSMEs in the country, Chola is consistently expanding its footfall in various parts of the sector.
          • The company has a major emphasis on rural credit as it is an untapped credit geography in India.
          • The balance sheet size of this NBFC has grown by nearly 184% in the past 5 years,

          Peer Review

          ParticularsNet Profit Margin (Ind. avg = 56.1)Good/ BadPrice to Book Value (in times) (Ind. avg = 2.8)Good/ BadEV/ EBITDA (in times) (Ind. avg = 25.7) Good/ Bad
          Bajaj Finance26.3%👍6.1👎18.2👍
          Bajaj Finserv14.1%👎4.1👎12.4👍
          Jio Financials86.5%👍1.1👍79.1👎
          Bajaj Holdings432.7%👍2.1👍16.4👍
          Chola Finance17.8%👎5.4👎15.2👍
          Source: Screener

          Explore in detail: From barter to digital finance: The story of India’s financial services

          BFSI stocks: Insurance

          Here are top insurance stocks classified based on their market capitalisation and ranked based on their 1-year return on equity as of February 6, 2025.

          ParticularsMarket Capitalisation (in ₹ crores)Return on EquityPrice to Earnings (P/E) (in times)Return on Assets
          LIC India5,30,129.763.4%12.70.8%
          SBI Life Insurance1,46,816.011.9%60.80.7%
          HDFC Life Insurance1,36,638.311.3%78.20.5%
          ICICI Lombard91,750.916.9%36.43.2%
          ICICI Pru Life87,436.98.0%89.70.3%
          Source: Screener

          Life Insurance Company of India

            This company is almost the synonym of life insurance for Indians. Its vast network of more than 14 lakh agents and experience of 72 years contributes to this success. LIC provides a wide range of specific life insurance products at an economic rate. The company’s share is trading at ₹842.6 as of February 5, 2025.

            Financial Analysis

            Particulars6M FY 2025FY 2024FY 2023
            Premium Revenue (in ₹ crores)2,33,6714,75,0694,74,004
            GNPA1.7%2.0%2.5%
            Net Profit (in ₹ crores)18,08140,67536,397
            Assets Under Management(in ₹ crores)55,39,51651,21,88743,97,205
            Source: Quarterly Reports

            Key Performance Highlights

            • It covers 58% market share of the Indian life insurance segment as of FY 24.
            • The recent announcement allowing 100% FDI investment in the insurance sector may pose a threat in the upcoming years.
            • The company was successful in becoming debt-free.
            • A low P/E-to-growth ratio indicates undervaluation and provides an opportunity for better scope.

            ICICI Lombard General Insurance Company Ltd

              Under the umbrella of ICICI Bank, Lombard is an insurance company generalising in general insurance such as fire, marine, crop, vehicle, etc. The network of 1.4 lakh agents has catalysed its growth. As of February 5, 2025, its share is trading at ₹1,854.6.

              Financial Analysis

              Particulars9M FY 2025FY 2024FY 2023
              Operating Profit (in ₹ crores)2,6722,5771,264
              Gross direct premium growth10.3%17.8%17.0%
              Net Profit (in ₹ crores)1,9981,9181,720
              Combined Ratio102.9%103.3%104.5%
              Source: Quarterly Reports

              Key Performance Highlights

              • The decreasing combined ratio indicates the company’s ability to earn more premiums than paying in the claims.
              • The company’s balance sheet size has grown by nearly 25% in the past 3 years. 
              • The company is mainly focusing on the tier 2 and 3 cities.
              • The company’s operating cash flow has been consistently positive and has grown by 5% in FY 2024.

              Peer Review

              ParticularsNet Profit Margin (Ind. avg = 5.1) Good/ BadPrice to Book Value (in times) (Ind avg = 6.9)Good/ BadEPS Growth (Ind. avg = 10.6)Good/ Bad
              LIC India4.8%👎5.4👍13.6%👍
              SBI Life Insurance1.2%👎8.9👎10.0%👎
              HDFC Life Insurance1.5%👎8.6👎15.0%👍
              ICICI Lombard9.3%👍6.5👍10.6%👍
              ICICI Pru Life0.5%👎7.4👎4.4%👎
              Source: Screener

              Must read: From colonial legacy to global ambition: The Indian insurance sector

              Summing up!

              Post-Budget 2025, a weak performance was observed in the BFSI sector. In such a period, investing in the blue-chip stocks from the industry can help earn potential long-term returns. Investors can explore banking, financial services and insurance stocks to diversify their portfolios. 

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