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IndusInd Bank shares rally 5% after RBI’s positive outlook – What’s next?

After a sharp 28% plunge, IndusInd Bank’s stock rebounds 5%. Is it a real recovery or just a temporary bounce?

IndusInd Bank shares rally 5% after RBI’s positive outlook – What’s next?

After a turbulent week where IndusInd Bank’s share price dropped 28%, investors finally saw some relief. On March 18, 2025, the stock rebounded 5.19% to ₹707 per share, following a statement from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) that reassured investors about the bank’s strong capital position.

However, concerns remain due to an estimated ₹2,100 crore accounting discrepancy, which had previously triggered a sharp sell-off. With the RBI asking IndusInd Bank’s board to complete corrective actions by Q4 FY25, many investors are wondering—is this rally sustainable, or just a dead cat bounce?

Also read: INDUSIND Bank stock analysis and expert insights in detail

What did the RBI say?

The RBI issued a statement confirming that IndusInd Bank:

The RBI also directed IndusInd Bank to:

  • Fix the ₹2,100 crore accounting issue by the end of March
  • Engage external auditors for a detailed review
  • Make all required disclosures to stakeholders

Why did IndusInd Bank shares crash 28%?

The stock’s decline was triggered by the bank’s admission of an accounting discrepancy related to its derivatives valuation, which had an estimated impact of 2.35% on its net worth.

HDFC Mutual Fund increases stake in IndusInd Bank

While retail investors were wary, HDFC Mutual Fund saw an opportunity. The fund house increased its holdings from 4.82% to 5.02% by purchasing an additional 15.92 lakh shares on March 11, 2025.

This move signals institutional confidence in the bank’s fundamentals despite the recent controversy.

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Should you buy IndusInd Bank shares now?

Reasons to be optimistic

RBI assurance: The regulator has reaffirmed the bank’s strong financial position.
Capital strength: The bank’s 16.46% CAR and 113% LCR indicate stability.
Institutional support: HDFC Mutual Fund’s increased stake suggests confidence in long-term value.
Potential for recovery: The stock already rebounded 5%, showing signs of stabilisation.

Reasons to be cautious

Accounting discrepancy concerns: The ₹2,100 crore issue is still under investigation.
High volatility: The stock saw a 37% drop in 20 trading sessions, and more fluctuations could follow.
Bearish sentiment: Some analysts believe this is a temporary bounce, with downside risks still present.
Analyst downgrades: Firms like Kotak Securities and Mirae Asset have revised their targets lower.

Brokerage views on IndusInd Bank stock

BrokerageRatingTarget PriceReasoning
ICICI SecuritiesReduce₹850Internal control concerns due to derivatives issue
Kotak SecuritiesReduce₹750Uncertainty over leadership and derivatives losses
Mirae AssetHold₹750CFO resignation and regulatory scrutiny concerns
Lakshmishree Investment & SecuritiesCautious₹551 (support level)High volatility and possible further correction

While some brokerages maintain optimism, others advise caution due to ongoing risks.

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Final thoughts

The 5% rally is encouraging, but investors should proceed with caution. The stock remains volatile, and much depends on how the bank resolves its ₹2,100 crore accounting issue. Short-term investors: Might want to wait for clarity before making a move.
Long-term investors: Could consider accumulating at lower levels, given the bank’s strong capital base.

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