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Why HFCL stock surged 10% today?

Is HFCL's recent 10% stock surge just the beginning of a long-term growth trajectory?

HFCL (Himachal Futuristic Communications Limited), a leading player in the telecom infrastructure space, has seen its stock surge by 10%. This comes on the heels of a significant announcement. 

The European Commission has exempted the company from anti-dumping duties, making HFCL the only Indian optical fibre cable manufacturer to receive this exemption. Let’s dive into the details and understand the broader implications of this development for HFCL and its investors.

A streak of gains

Today’s rally marks the ninth consecutive day of gains for HFCL’s stock, which has surged by 52% during this period. The stock opened with a 5% gap up at ₹121, compared to the previous day’s close of ₹117, and continued to climb, reaching ₹129, an increase of 10.25%. 

This consistent upward momentum has been fueled by positive news and strategic advancements in the company’s operations.

Financial performance and market position

The European Commission’s exemption from anti-dumping duties is expected to have a positive impact on HFCL’s profitability and market position. 

By alleviating the financial burden associated with these duties, HFCL can offer its products in Europe at more competitive prices. This competitive edge is likely to attract more business and expand the company’s customer base.

Revenue and profitability targets

HFCL has set ambitious targets to achieve by 2027, aiming for a revenue range of ₹9,000–10,000 crore. The company plans to enhance operational efficiencies, shift its revenue mix from project-led to product-led, and capitalise on strong global demand for its technological innovations. 

These strategic initiatives are expected to streamline operations, reduce working capital needs, accelerate revenue realisation, and expand profit margins.

AnnualFigures in (Rs Cr)Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Sales4,4654,7434,7274,4223,838
Other Income10047423622
Total Income4,5654,7904,7704,4593,860
Total Expenditure3,9654,2074,1613,9463,386
EBIT600582608512474
Interest147152166176114
Tax11611211690121
Net Profit336317325246238

Long-term growth

HFCL’s stock has been on an impressive upward trajectory over the years. Over the past three years, the company’s shares have appreciated by 139%; over the last five years, they have surged by a remarkable 525%. 

This long-term growth is a testament to HFCL’s robust business model and its ability to capitalise on emerging market opportunities.

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European Commission decision

The European Commission’s decision, dated June 14, 2024, determined that HFCL is the only Indian company not engaged in the dumping of optical fibre cables (OFC) in European markets. 

While provisional anti-dumping duties have been imposed on other Indian manufacturers, HFCL stands out with its exemption. This decision resulted from a comprehensive investigation into the company’s products, infrastructure, and financial data.

Background of the investigation

The investigation was initiated following a complaint by Europacable on behalf of the European OFC industry, alleging that Indian imports were being dumped and causing injury to the European market. 

The European Commission conducted an extensive review, including analysing sales, manufacturing, export, and pricing data from October 2022 to September 2023. European officials conducted intensive validation processes on-site to verify HFCL’s compliance with fair trade practices.

Strategic developments and future outlook

HFCL has not relied solely on favourable regulatory decisions for its growth. Over the past five years, the company has strategically invested in research and development, focusing on creating a robust portfolio of proprietary defence products and advancing its telecom capabilities.

Defence sector advancements

HFCL has ramped up its presence in the defence sector, with significant investments in R&D leading to the development of high-demand defence products. The company works on drone detection radars and has successfully created a state-of-the-art defence product portfolio. 

HFCL’s subsidiary, HTL Limited, has received orders to supply wire harnesses for tanks, ships, aircraft, and other equipment. The defence sector contributed 6% to HFCL’s revenue in FY24, and the company aims to increase this share to 10-15% by FY27.

Telecom sector innovations

In the telecom sector, HFCL maintains a dominant market share in optical fibre cable supplies and is recognised as one of India’s largest manufacturers of Wi-Fi access points and unlicensed band radios. 

The company is advancing its technology prowess, particularly in 5G and 6G products, to meet emerging market demands.

Global expansion plans

HFCL is also focused on expanding its global footprint. To enhance its market penetration and product marketing capabilities, the company plans to establish subsidiaries in key markets such as the USA, Canada, and the Netherlands. 

Additionally, HFCL is setting up a new OFC manufacturing facility in Poland to strengthen its presence in Europe and support its growth strategy.

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Market reaction and investor confidence

The market’s positive reaction to the European Commission’s decision is evident in the 10% increase in HFCL’s stock price. This surge reflects investor confidence in HFCL’s improved financial outlook and strengthened competitive stance in Europe. 

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Conclusion

HFCL’s exemption from European anti-dumping duties marks a significant milestone for the company. Coupled with its strategic advancements in the defence and telecom sectors, this development positions HFCL for continued growth and enhanced market presence. 

The company’s long-term vision, ambitious targets, and global expansion plans further reinforce its potential to deliver substantial value to its shareholders. As HFCL continues to innovate and expand, investors can look forward to a promising future for this multi bagger stock.

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